Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 397.427874 451.141492 510.666453 581.736319 664.556710 758.350645 873.076195
2025-12-21 304.136244 371.190393 452.057217 557.573809 692.800454 861.880686 1091.797432
2025-12-28 270.111957 345.873101 442.560330 576.614193 760.205617 1006.577519 1368.638637
2026-01-04 247.553996 329.704189 439.561629 599.832866 832.113057 1163.546546 1685.276144
2026-01-11 223.828167 307.850383 424.618816 602.364404 872.600367 1279.043250 1958.469863
2026-01-18 200.406793 283.156611 401.940615 589.407210 886.408528 1354.095223 2178.626323
2026-01-25 181.366197 262.448904 382.249126 577.571964 898.835504 1426.559983 2404.311330
2026-02-01 171.782485 254.613033 380.611275 592.955072 955.928125 1578.934711 2795.260775
2026-02-08 159.718435 241.662816 369.486835 591.210735 983.271752 1682.989679 3115.063587
2026-02-15 148.258121 228.536276 356.647252 584.799185 1001.005575 1771.274276 3419.343885
2026-02-22 140.160863 220.052806 350.453318 588.856570 1037.601083 1899.221995 3828.747910
2026-03-01 130.506557 208.160364 337.403253 579.152454 1046.877439 1974.695350 4139.111262
2026-03-08 122.468122 198.529954 327.687266 575.059315 1067.578152 2078.647125 4542.037531
2026-03-15 112.170293 184.265433 308.720269 551.791083 1047.424289 2094.562947 4741.609929
2026-03-22 109.139913 182.402201 311.613859 570.522458 1115.325896 2311.251279 5488.252481
2026-03-29 106.874377 181.678468 316.442784 593.466541 1195.131878 2568.233337 6407.188372
2026-04-05 102.080392 175.977126 311.466321 595.965418 1230.480272 2726.975152 7098.266418
2026-04-12 95.809274 167.092936 299.711250 583.167884 1229.603486 2797.260544 7551.335959
2026-04-19 90.195252 159.059374 288.983457 571.477781 1229.802252 2870.331739 8032.959012
2026-04-26 88.023899 157.408613 290.641706 586.672115 1295.788851 3125.663723 9167.383623
2026-05-03 84.188992 152.276082 284.919891 584.949224 1320.243614 3273.895629 9991.896405
2026-05-10 80.167475 146.514509 277.484178 578.616414 1332.319367 3389.951326 10740.748084
2026-05-17 77.432028 143.122323 274.674786 582.623986 1371.491736 3590.994577 11867.160850